MLB 2026 Predictions: Hottest Hot Takes, Division Winners, and Award Winners (2026)

It's only been two weeks into the 2026 MLB season, but the experts are already making bold predictions. While some of these predictions are mild, others are straight fire. Here are some of the hottest takes from the ESPN article, along with my own commentary and analysis.

Take a Walk on the Mild Side

There will be a shift in public reaction to MLB's ball-strike challenge rule.

Personally, I think this prediction is a bit of a stretch. While the current response to the automated ball-strike system is indeed giddy, I don't see a significant shift in public reaction in the coming weeks. The strike zone is a complex issue, and even small changes can have a big impact. I'm not convinced that the ABS system will be the primary factor in the batting average problem. -- Bradford Doolittle

For the first time since 1950, 10% of plate appearances will result in a walk.

What makes this prediction particularly fascinating is the potential impact of the ABS system on walk rates. While it's true that more walks are occurring, it's not necessarily a result of the ABS system. Hitters are simply more attuned to the value of walking, and pitchers are adjusting their strategies accordingly. -- Paul Hembekides

Now We're Heating Up

Yordan Alvarez will win American League MVP.

In my opinion, Alvarez is a strong contender for the MVP award. His blazing start to the season and his proven ability to put up MVP numbers over a full season make him a compelling choice. A little boost from the Astros winning the AL West and a slight downturn in production from Aaron Judge would further solidify his case. -- David Schoenfield

Pat Murphy and Stephen Vogt will each win MOY for the third consecutive year.

From my perspective, this prediction is a bit of a long shot. While the Brewers and Guardians have performed well, it's not guaranteed that they will continue to exceed expectations. The Manager of the Year Award is highly competitive, and there are other strong contenders in the mix. -- Buster Olney

Ben Rice will finish in the top 10 in AL MVP voting.

What this really suggests is that Rice is a rising star in the sport. His improved batting skills and increased pull percentage make him a breakout candidate for the MVP award. While it's early in the season, Rice has the potential to have a monster year and solidify his place among the sport's best hitters. -- Jorge Castillo

The Heat is On

The 2026 NL Central champion Pittsburgh Pirates.

One thing that immediately stands out is the potential for the Pirates to make a surprising run at the NL Central division title. With a strong rotation led by Paul Skenes and a dangerous offense, the Pirates have the potential to win their first division title since 1992. -- Eric Karabell

The Cleveland Guardians pitch their way into the World Series.

If you take a step back and think about it, the Guardians have the potential to make a deep playoff run. Their pitching staff, led by Parker Messick, Slade Cecconi, and Joey Cantillo, is one of the most underrated in the league. With a chance to capture three different pieces of postseason hardware, the Guardians could make history. -- Tristan Cockcroft

Chase Burns will win the National League Cy Young.

What many people don't realize is that Burns has the potential to be a dominant force on the mound. His ultra-premium stuff, particularly his fastball and slider, make him a strong contender for the Cy Young award. If he can continue to evolve and throw his changeup with more confidence, he could become the next NL Cy Young winner. -- Jeff Passan

Straight Fire

The Miami Marlins will win the NL East and Sandy Alcantara wins NL Cy Young.

If you take a step back and think about it, the Marlins have the potential to make a surprising run at the NL East division title. With a young and talented starting lineup and a strong pitching staff led by Sandy Alcantara, the Marlins could be a force to be reckoned with in the NL. -- AJ Mass

MLB 2026 Predictions: Hottest Hot Takes, Division Winners, and Award Winners (2026)
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